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Finance & Wealth 8 min Jan 18, 2024

Burn Rate and Runway: How to Know When You Are Running Out of Cash

Author: Marcus Vance (Wharton MBA) Fact-Checked & Reviewed

Burn rate is how much cash your business spends per month. Runway is how many months you have before the money runs out. These two numbers are among the most important metrics for any early-stage or growth-stage business, and many founders do not track them closely enough until they are already in trouble.

Two Types of Burn Rate

Gross burn rate is your total monthly operating expenses: everything you spend before any revenue comes in. Net burn rate is gross burn minus monthly revenue. Net burn is the number that actually matters for runway calculations.

Runway Formula

Runway (months) = Cash / Net Burn Rate

Where Net Burn = Monthly Expenses − Monthly Revenue

How Much Runway Is Enough

The standard guidance is 18 months minimum. Here is why that number matters: fundraising takes longer than most founders expect, often 6-9 months from first conversations to cash in the bank. You need enough runway to run a fundraise without desperation. Desperate founders accept bad terms. Founders with runway have negotiating use.

If your runway drops below 9 months without a fundraise underway, start immediately. If it drops below 6 months, cut costs aggressively and call every warm investor contact today. The math is not forgiving.

Extending Runway Without Raising

Before raising, look at both sides of the equation: revenue and expenses.

MV

Written by Marcus Vance

Wharton MBA alumni, business strategist, and author at SuccessInformatics.